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arxiv preprint

Modeling how human moves on the space is useful for policy-making in transportation, public safety, and public health. The human movements can be viewed as a dynamic process that human transits between states (e.g., locations) over time. In the human world where both intelligent agents like humans or vehicles with human drivers play an important role, the states of agents mostly describe human activities, and the state transition is influenced by both the human decisions and physical constraints from the real-world system (e.g., agents need to spend time to move over a certain distance). Therefore, the modeling of state transition should include the modeling of the agent's decision process and the physical system dynamics. In this paper, we propose to model state transition in human movement through learning decision model and integrating system dynamics. In experiments on real-world datasets, we demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve superior performance against the state-of-the-art methods in predicting the next state and generating long-term future states.

Hua Wei, Zhenhui Li